Progressive Maryland Weekly Memo for Election 2018 -- Monday, November 5

THERE ARE THOSE WHO THINK YOU WILL LET RAINY WEATHER SENTENCE YOU TO FOUR MORE YEARS OF LARRY HOGAN. THERE ARE THOSE WHO ARE COUNTING ON IT.

Rain is forecast tomorrow-- on Tuesday, Election Day.

Are Republicans counting on Maryland’s rainy Election Day weather to benefit their candidates? Or is that just a rumor?

Check out what a 2007 study found, after surveying the election outcomes and local weather at the level of county by county for presidential elections from 1948 to 2000.

THERE ARE THOSE WHO THINK YOU WILL LET RAINY WEATHER SENTENCE YOU TO FOUR MORE YEARS OF LARRY HOGAN. THERE ARE THOSE WHO ARE COUNTING ON IT.

Rain is forecast tomorrow-- on Tuesday, Election Day.

Are Republicans counting on Maryland’s rainy Election Day weather to benefit their candidates? Or is that just a rumor?

 Here’s what a 2007 study found, after surveying the election outcomes and local weather at the level of county by county for presidential elections from 1948 to 2000.  “The study … basically showed that weather may be the “last straw” for undecided voters and those who are not diehard supporters of a party. They are sensitive to what the study calls the “cost of participating” in an election. Thus rain and snow on Election Day may very well be the additional “cost” that causes them to not even vote! While Mother Nature cannot have partisan tendencies, this appears to hurt Democrats more than Republicans as the former typically attracts a larger share of those undecided and unengaged voters easily influenced by bad weather.”

The WeatherWorks site, which reported this result from three political scientists in 2016, cheerily predicted “most of the country will be precipitation-free this [2016] Election Day. The exception will be along a cold front moving through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley.” Um, wait, wasn’t that the area where Trump was supposed to lose, but didn’t? Hmmm. Moreover, the researchers suggested (in 2007)  that weather may have made the 2000 result so close that it enabled the Supreme Court to give the election to Bush 43.

So. Are you and your friends “undecided and unengaged” and therefore more liable to stay home if the weather is bad? Somehow we doubt it. We think THAT’S the rumor. Remember what kinds of overt voter suppression folks are fighting in states like Georgia and North Dakota. What’s a little rain? Get wet and get a much better governor.

 

>>THE BEN JEALOUS FILE – this BlogSpace has outlined on many occasions the qualities of the Jealous/Turnbull ticket that make jealous_election_night.jpgthem the clear choice in the Governor’s races, and Larry Hogan a prime candidate to be sent home.

Most recently, former Gov. Martin O’Malley pulled the mask off Hogan’s corrupt self-enrichment while he has been governor. Like Trump, Hogan sees public office as a racketeering opportunity. And in case you missed it, a local-opinion writer rubbed the WaPo’s nose in its toadying endorsement of Hogan as a “moderate” with this point-by-point rebuttal.

Maybe you still feel you need to know more. Many of our BlogSpace accounts of key issues in the campaign and the superior Jealous/Turnbull approach are in this link-filled recent post. And the comparison is also detailed here. Larry Hogan’s other failures in office (successes for him and his business friends, but for sure not for you and the folks you know) are laid out here. And here.

And the whole thing is in this past weekend’s mega-post, How much do you need to know about why Jealous should win?


 

OUR CHAPTERS AROUND THE STATE

Progressive Prince George's

Saturday, November 10 Participatory Defense Community Meeting at 01:00 PM

Oakcrest Community Center rsvp


PMD Montgomery


 Frederick County Progressives


Take Action Anne Arundel County


 

pm_folks_with_banner.jpgThursday, November 29 Monthly Chapter Meeting at 7 pm at Edgewater Community Library

Doug Prouty, Vice President of Maryland State Education Association, will be our speaker. 

He will be speaking about the new education budgeting algorithm that will be discussed during the 2019 State Legislative Session and actions we can take to advocate for funding of Anne Arundel Public Schools before and during the session. 

Other Anne Arundel Events

Environment and Health Briefings

The Maryland Environmental Health Network is hosting a series of briefings from October through December prior to the 2018-2019 legislative session.  You can register for these webinars by clicking here.  

Thursday, November 15 at 6:30 pm - Movie Night - Cowspiracy

The Sustainability Secret is a groundbreaking feature-length environmental documentary following an intrepid filmmaker as he uncovers the most destructive industry facing the planet today – and investigates why the world's leading environmental organizations are too afraid to talk about it. As eye-opening as Blackfish and as inspiring as An Inconvenient Truth, this shocking yet humorous documentary reveals the absolutely devastating environmental impact large-scale factory farming has on our planet.  Climate Stewards of Greater Annapolis are hosting this movie night at Annapolis Friends Meeting House at 6:30pm


Progressive Howard County


Talbot Rising


Lower Shore Progressive Caucus


 PMD Baltimore


 

EVENTS FROM OUR ALLIES:

Today, Monday, Nov. 5 4-6 PM -- Friends of the Earth ask you to

Help elect Ben Jealous as Governor of Maryland: Send texts to environmental voters from your home!

Tuesday, Nov. 13th Food Justice Coalition of 20743 Next General Meeting
@ 6pm 1300 Capitol Heights Blvd, Capitol Heights, MD 20743
Meet us at the Oakcrest Community Center every 2nd Tuesday at 6pm! FJC 20743 needs your help! You can support us by working on the Capitol Heights Farmers Market Planning Committee.


Baltimore comrades, Check in on Max Obuszewski’s highly useful activist calendar and tip sheet at http://baltimorenonviolencecenter.blogspot.com/


 It all happens for free… right? Not exactly. Organizing for change in our society and our high-maintenance politics requires both people and money. Keep change moving with a quick, secure impulse-buy contribution here. You know you meant to do it last week and now here you are again...


OUR BLOG POSTS IN THE PAST WEEK

Reading the Progressive Maryland BlogSpace: our blogs for the previous week are shown below, but if you want a handy way to keep track – and never miss a blog post – you can sign up to get this Weekly Memo by email. Remember this is your blogspace and your participation is heartily invited. See something going on that you don’t like – or that you do like and hope to see more of? Send us your thoughts; submit to the moderator at woodlanham@gmail.com

We recently published these blog posts:

November 03, 2018 How much do you need to know about why Jealous should win?

And how much do you need to know about Larry Hogan before you move from “Not so bad” to “get OUT of here”? Here are a few reminders about why "not so bad" is wrong. He's bad -- for everyone except his rich corporate friends.

November 01, 2018 I hate canvassing. I do it anyway, because it's important.

No matter the phase in the election cycle, says Prince George's activist John Mitchell, canvassing can seem like drudgery. "Most doors you knock on will not be opened. Many people who answer will be unimpressed with your presence. But in my experience, the wonderful opportunity to connect with like-minded citizens is very rewarding."

October 31, 2018 Today is the next-to-biggest enchilada

TODAY is the next-to-biggest enchilada – the last day of Early Voting.  Cast your ballot tomorrow or cast your fate to the winds next Tuesday. Sure, you can vote on Election Day – and more people still do it that day. If that’s your plan, be extra good at planning.

October 30, 2018 “Not too bad” isn’t good enough anymore: why we need Ben Jealous

"We have an amazingly well qualified, energetic person like Ben Jealous challenging [Larry] Hogan’s don’t-rock-the-boat principles -- which are not helping this state," says Linda Neuman. Hogan "went into hiding after Trump's inauguration, refusing to say a word about Trump."

October 29, 2018 Progressive Maryland Weekly Memo for Monday, Oct. 29, 2018

EARLY VOTING IS STILL UNDERWAY -- UNTIL THURSDAY --check out our posts at the foot of this newsbreak for detailed (and oft-repeated) advice on why Early Voting is the gift that keeps on giving (until Thursday at 8 p.m.) and why we can build power and win this important election if we make the Blue Wave happen.


 >>REMEMBER – these blog posts are expressions of political opinion from our wide-ranging membership and circle of allies. They are not expressions of opinion by Progressive Maryland. Don’t be surprised if they sometimes vary in their political content. You might even disagree with them – a good reason to contribute a blog of your own. Send it to the moderator, Woody Woodruff, at woodlanham@gmail.com.

>>Keeping up with the blogs is easier with the index. The blogs published in the PM BlogSpace from June 2015 through December 2016 are all available with descriptions and links here. You can follow blogs for 2017-18 starting from here